Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Polymarket | 69% No | Open |
Venue activity
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Canine-Alpaca · last month
Go go Su Chiao go
- tiongbu · 2 months ago
Ah Lee numba 1
As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC