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PolymarketOpen

Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

Yes73%
No28%

Price checked at

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24h volume$156.8
7d volume$7.9K
30d volume$9.4K
Liquidity$3.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).

Sourcehttps://jce.gob.do

Venue activity

Holders123
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments19

Best bid 70% · best ask 74%

Top holders

  • LocalHunter19359503496571086301994684478471258098060651155665806094064567108342757317422
  • 74-7519359503496571086301994684478471258098060651155665806094064567108342757317422
  • AlofokeMusic103083677838353635984563406297993608169269142910782843207303040441931703784096
  • Alfryfelix103083677838353635984563406297993608169269142910782843207303040441931703784096
  • MarcianoTech103083677838353635984563406297993608169269142910782843207303040441931703784096

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY30%$3.16 days ago
  • BUY72%$6.16 days ago
  • SELL28%$98.76 days ago
  • BUY29%$16.36 days ago
  • BUY29%$1.56 days ago
  • SELL28%$5.66 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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19 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • RealTraderx · 20 days ago

    Alofoke presidente

  • 14600k · 20 days ago

    hay bobo

  • edwin072693 · 28 days ago

    este mercado esta lento hay volumen si compra 1000 usd ya sabe no gana nadas

  • edwin072693 · 28 days ago

    ya

  • elmiovimer · last month

    Prácticamente estas diciendo que la JCE le va cerrar el palo. Fijate que por eso se ta haciendo hasta los streaming... es pa que no haya excusa ni cuento de revision. Tu sabe el lio que se va armar si eso sucede?

  • RDpalMundo · last month

    El puede terminar todo antes de ese mes (aunque lo veo imposible), y aun así la JCE entra en una revisión que dura lo que le de su gana

  • Elver-Galarga · last month

    Ya hay 25k en volumen, ojo

  • AlbertMars · last month

    Si pones orden limit puedes vender al precio que quieras

  • ELDOTOL · last month

    aqui no hay volumen, tu compra a 0.66 si si quiere venden te la pagan a 0.50 aunque el precio este a 65,lamentablemente no hay volumen,marciano suerte

  • BirobidjanTrader · 2 months ago

    🇩🇴 🇩🇴 🇩🇴 🇩🇴 🇩🇴

  • AlbertMars · 2 months ago

    Dominicanos primero 🇩🇴

  • Zero.cool · 2 months ago

    La marea es que si así me fui con que no

  • AlbertMars · 2 months ago

    Creo que lo logrará antes de diciembre

  • norbertoencarnacionmontero · 2 months ago

    Creo que lo puede lograr es el tipo de Domin´ que cuando se pone algo en la cabeza acelera aun que se funda

  • deleonx2 · 2 months ago

    @notisancri @notisancrird, comparto por aquí el análisis.

  • General-Shopping · 2 months ago

    Para crear un partidos solo tiene que tener las firmas necesarias y los estatutos entres otras cosas más no como tú lo piensa

  • ronnydavaba · 2 months ago

    2028 🇩🇴

  • AlbertMars · 2 months ago

    Yes

  • deleonx2 · 2 months ago

    Voté que sí, pero creo que para lograrlo tendrá que hacer algunos cambios importantes. Si realmente quiere construir un partido político serio, deberá moderar parte de su línea de comunicación y estudiar muy bien las leyes y regulaciones que rigen la actividad política en República Dominicana. Muchas de las cosas que hoy funcionan como contenido o entretenimiento podrían jugarle en contra en un escenario político. Si hace esa transición con inteligencia y forma un buen equipo legal y estratégico, considero que tiene posibilidades reales de lograrlo.

As of Sep 30, 02:44 AM UTC