PolymarketOpen

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$4.4K

Spread0%

ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Matt Damon be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kylian Mbappé be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Pulisic be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jude Bellingham be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Billie Eilish be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Caitlin Clark be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Josh Allen be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ariana Grande be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Scarlett Johansson be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Patrick Mahomes be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthony Edwards be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Luka Dončić be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ja Morant be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stefon Diggs be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Scottie Scheffler be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Karoline Leavitt be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Polymarket	66% No	—	—	—	Open

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Comments8

Discussion on Predxy

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8 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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Little-Anguish · 5 days ago
it's dumb stuff like Google Trends, should just be the raw number
PainterofAustria1488 · 2 months ago
It's YoY
PainterofAustria1488 · 2 months ago
Isn't it YoY increase?
z45 · 2 months ago
Most Googled Person By Year 2025: Donald Trump 2024: Donald Trump 2023: Donald Trump 2022: Will Smith (after slapping Chris Rock at the Oscars) 2021: Donald Trump
z45 · 2 months ago
trump is a lock
Farlight · 2 months ago
🚣🚣🚣
Gregarious-Mouton · 2 months ago
Someone please explain why Trump isn't at 90+ at this point?
Aviliol · 2 months ago
Donald Trump remains the clear favorite to be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026. Trump has topped this ranking for three consecutive years and continues to dominate headlines. Multiple data sources back this up: Glimpse (July 2026): Trump is cited as the most-Googled person of all time, driven by his election win and ongoing coverage of his executive orders. Semrush (March 2026): Trump ranked as the internet's most-searched person, pulling in roughly 7.5M monthly Google queries — well ahead of Taylor Swift (4.1M) and Elon Musk (3.4M).

As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC