PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:40 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$17.1K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially identical; the venues differ only in listed outcome order and Polymarket specifies a settlement time while PredictFun does not.

Polymarketthis market
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
38 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 22, 07:25 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 29, 06:39 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$451.2	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$214.9	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders38

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966102812523098256707541156525785643701887113606651518397452329512050270528775546
jozeslemsek69049266753009416153475760603256460149556933192149249227981305393105811413163
e46m369049266753009416153475760603256460149556933192149249227981305393105811413163
donthackme69049266753009416153475760603256460149556933192149249227981305393105811413163
korda7769049266753009416153475760603256460149556933192149249227981305393105811413163

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY0%$012 days ago
SELL0%$026 days ago
BUY100%$2026 days ago
BUY100%$1026 days ago
BUY100%$1.427 days ago
BUY100%$145.927 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 09:16 PM UTC