PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:24 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$18.1K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published criteria differ in no material way; Polymarket specifies a resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not. Both use a consensus of credible reporting as the source, with no further venue-specific resolution differences stated.

PredictFunOpen →
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 30, 12:16 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
146 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 21, 08:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$757.6	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$175.4	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders146

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296627519635226414255142626160898010196058188266657537372881205787659026869498546
BobInvestments6369142801468538078435462495249654721381776375778296596920715169671444692617
acal6369142801468538078435462495249654721381776375778296596920715169671444692617
3874110074156118140922178973876369142801468538078435462495249654721381776375778296596920715169671444692617
donthackme6369142801468538078435462495249654721381776375778296596920715169671444692617

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Recent trades

BUY0%$012 days ago
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BUY100%$3.414 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 12:50 AM UTC