Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$214.9
7d volume$21.8K
30d volume$69.7K
Liquidity$4.6K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a resolution time of October 1, 2026, while PredictFun does not publish one; both specify consensus of credible reporting as the source.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    100 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 27, 04:16 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 29, 06:41 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders100
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 99% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296618007706104573798796221146830901541724970573387823648362828269344153117494091
  • SteveTheFish46552579038506701209087110814172553391939526036683166770317364680747842791908
  • 38741100741561181409221789738746552579038506701209087110814172553391939526036683166770317364680747842791908
  • 0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd46552579038506701209087110814172553391939526036683166770317364680747842791908
  • e46m346552579038506701209087110814172553391939526036683166770317364680747842791908

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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  • BUY100%$6.72 days ago
  • BUY100%$5.12 days ago
  • BUY100%$7.73 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC