Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

No82%
Yes19%

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24h volume$557.4
7d volume$2.1K
30d volume$47.4K
Liquidity$36K
Spread2%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket explicitly uses Google’s published list and provides an “Other” fallback if it is not released by March 31, 2027; Kalshi specifies the same Google list but publishes no equivalent fallback. Their settlement timing also differs, with Polymarket settling by April 1, 2027 and Kalshi by December 31, 2026.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

    This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

    97 holders · 6 comments · read Sep 28, 08:28 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    #1 searched person on Google in 2026: Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

    If Erling Haaland is #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the individual ranked #1 in the “People” section of Google’s official Year in Search 2026 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the People section applies to this market. If Liam Payne is #1 in “Searches” but Donald Trump is #1 in “People,” the market resolves Yes to Donald Trump. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Google. Any references Google, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Google and Kalshi.

    read Sep 29, 07:17 PM UTC

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Will Scarlett Johansson be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Polymarket99% NoOpen
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Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Polymarket70% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders97
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments6

Best bid 85% · best ask 86%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966106899334727388189233346868546767274703859157508867214846444023358515504143551
  • cheddarCat42763546566178461772684530128901019882323405073391430881960821895784464184892
  • forever123106899334727388189233346868546767274703859157508867214846444023358515504143551
  • eNakeVets42763546566178461772684530128901019882323405073391430881960821895784464184892
  • Anjun106899334727388189233346868546767274703859157508867214846444023358515504143551

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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  • SELL16%$59.13 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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6 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • PainterofAustria1488 · 25 days ago

    No Clancy?

  • NotEmmanuelMacron · last month

    No ferran Torres?

  • lolofrap · 2 months ago

    Pls add Infantino

  • crypto-basenji · 2 months ago

    Add Vinicius please

  • PainterofAustria1488 · 2 months ago

    You never know 😂

  • PainterofAustria1488 · 2 months ago

    I'm cooked 💀. It's YoY

As of Sep 29, 09:36 PM UTC