Will Clavicular visit Russia in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit Colombia in 2026? | Polymarket | 80% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit Iran in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
Venue activity
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3 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Rainless · 9 days ago
clav stream japan all ready he is there
- ensicrypto.on.x · 3 months ago
what the hell is this liquidity
- rapistsandpedophiles · 3 months ago
robbi focus
As of Sep 30, 01:05 AM UTC