Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

No83%
Yes18%

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24h volume$749.3
7d volume$10.7K
30d volume$78.5K
Liquidity$31.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical, including the deadline, qualifying footage, digital appearances, and authenticity requirements.
  • LimitlessOpen →

    Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...: December 31

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 09:11 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

    308 holders · 409 comments · read Sep 27, 08:39 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Polymarket94% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders308
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments409

Top holders

  • RememberAmalek106352973084247809978722887479381361784509565887960822996102387300658431649079
  • dreivierteljaeger78735213477140259179719985437634225008013438052010449207550476177307188383355
  • gkeqd78735213477140259179719985437634225008013438052010449207550476177307188383355
  • Sticky-Closing78735213477140259179719985437634225008013438052010449207550476177307188383355
  • aannggg78735213477140259179719985437634225008013438052010449207550476177307188383355

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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Discussion on Predxy

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409 comments

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  • Schnitzelwiener · 7 days ago

    obviously

  • recko · 8 days ago

    dead and gone

  • Schnitzelwiener · 12 days ago

    yes.

  • Seinfeld1fan · 27 days ago

    Amen.

  • mvp74 · last month

    Would it be considered “public appearance”?

  • mvp74 · last month

    What if he appears in public, but in a coffin?

  • huuuhuuu · last month

    are you gonna say it every two weeks ?

  • eagleeyestocks · last month

    He will appear soon!

  • 12beduins · last month

    At least GayballHustle and Mantzurgay sold their NOs, whos the loser now bitches??!??!

  • 12beduins · last month

    What an absolute LETDOWN if hes not showing his ass after ALL THIS MF TALK!!!

  • hyper-liquid-xyz · last month

    Al-Jazeera - US offers $10m reward and relocation for information on five IRGC commanders - part of sanction announcement but this is possible US would want different regime?

  • 12beduins · last month

    Mojtaba for the win GO GO MOJTABA!!!

  • unoalef · last month

    what is this movie ? meet berween khamenei with pezeshkian . its real movie

  • eagleeyestocks · last month

    He will appear soon!

  • 12beduins · 2 months ago

    Soon!

  • SnowballHustle · 2 months ago

    The Supreme Leader also had a 7 hour meeting at a Gay Bar in Miami Beach, the gay owner of the bar claims

  • SnowballHustle · 2 months ago

    Yea with the Devil LMFAO

  • ragutwo · 2 months ago

    i also saw him on my coffee, and all the dum dums believe he is dead

  • Mantzuraj · 2 months ago

    looool, even if i lose i have 4 times more than you. Meanwhile you will lose everything

  • 12beduins · 2 months ago

    prepare to lose your money!

As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC