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US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?
No88%
Yes13%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$96.5
Spread13%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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As of Sep 30, 02:27 AM UTC