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PolymarketOpen

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?

No83%
Yes17%

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24h volume$7.1
7d volume$402.5
30d volume$1.1K
Liquidity$10.4K
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Venue activity

Holders36
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments18

Best bid 84% · best ask 86%

Top holders

  • paddaa2065817718576403925271454638302071141203403073897797562538909635352124388376
  • Impassioned-Light84013251575036609625714153358046472810975905524622446351980249299481842671853
  • High-Campaigning84013251575036609625714153358046472810975905524622446351980249299481842671853
  • BeltzaCapital84013251575036609625714153358046472810975905524622446351980249299481842671853
  • conherence2065817718576403925271454638302071141203403073897797562538909635352124388376

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY16%$99 days ago
  • BUY15%$52.89 days ago
  • BUY14%$1.99 days ago
  • BUY13%$49 days ago
  • BUY13%$49 days ago
  • SELL87%$31.810 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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18 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • iutwpfal · 2 months ago

    He's fine

  • SolidusD · 5 months ago

    NOW - Trump says very soon the "great strength" of the American military will create "a new dawn for Cuba."

  • ItsRigg3d · 6 months ago

    El trato con delcy fue para noquear Maduro, cabrón 😂😂. Están haciendo otro trato para Cuba ahora mismo 😉

  • Clapham · 6 months ago

    President Díaz-Canel has made it clear: our sovereignty is not a bargaining chip...But Trump always manages to make him submit.

  • Kriegsspiele · 7 months ago

    Nothing ever happens. Time is going, no news, but "yes" is growing. Dumb games, easy "no".

  • Dr.Harambe · 7 months ago

    si han hecho un trato con delcy, este se queda igual. Easy No

  • Baristalibertarian · 7 months ago

    He jus admitted conversations with US administration. He is politically DEAD. YES is easy money printing

  • Purple-Scrambled · 7 months ago

    rubio is incoming

  • JDoe-401 · 7 months ago

    Cuban here, NO is free money.

  • Absolute.Degenerate · 7 months ago

    sure, Trump will tell you how

  • Sore-Mansard · 7 months ago

    jjjjj abajo tu comunismo y tus comunistas de mierda

  • nagooner · 7 months ago

    i'd like to be enlightened on how this could even happen (wouldn't mind losing this bet that much tbh)

  • Purple-Scrambled · 7 months ago

    wrong

  • Capital-Endoderm · 8 months ago

    Dentro de la Revolución, todo; contra la Revolución, nada

  • Mokoyakhan · 8 months ago

    ya viene llegando

  • Purple-Scrambled · 8 months ago

    It's happening

  • poliknomi · 8 months ago

    TRUMP PUSHES FOR CUBA REGIME CHANGE BY YEAR-END

  • Haydeny · 10 months ago

    The Cuban Communist Party controls everything, and they don't allow internal coups or successful popular revolts. He's locked in until the Party decides otherwise.

As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC