U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoTop holders
- melonmanm15564498225388654572679804371006743901831068994569897054623481621024529916169
- ScientiaRex15564498225388654572679804371006743901831068994569897054623481621024529916169
- 0x6bd3561530e94da23d44bf19a78c8970f5363e2326811029081379605662231368430499394342996412216554586623501330909778300759915
- aosdijf26811029081379605662231368430499394342996412216554586623501330909778300759915
- MAHMT26811029081379605662231368430499394342996412216554586623501330909778300759915
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As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC