PolymarketOpen

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?

No93%
Yes7%

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24h volume$162.9
7d volume$162.9
30d volume$1.6K
Liquidity$10.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

Venue activity

Holders32
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • melonmanm15564498225388654572679804371006743901831068994569897054623481621024529916169
  • ScientiaRex15564498225388654572679804371006743901831068994569897054623481621024529916169
  • 0x6bd3561530e94da23d44bf19a78c8970f5363e2326811029081379605662231368430499394342996412216554586623501330909778300759915
  • aosdijf26811029081379605662231368430499394342996412216554586623501330909778300759915
  • MAHMT26811029081379605662231368430499394342996412216554586623501330909778300759915

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY95%$1111 days ago
  • SELL91%$1.111 days ago
  • SELL92%$32.111 days ago
  • SELL93%$23.216 days ago
  • SELL93%$18.619 days ago
  • SELL95%$1919 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC