PolymarketOpen

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:00 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$176.4K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Base will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Polymarket	63% No	$70	—	—	Open
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	58% Yes	$62.7	—	—	Open
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	93% No	$15.4	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders230

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments191

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

qmarktea2103636053646450401093766353765470391940053976581673820100904017915649851776012
Bigdboss45002865706330666132592395348485552513139680613495603565866307034165415519168
Lucky4321678945002865706330666132592395348485552513139680613495603565866307034165415519168
Loathsome-Emphasis103636053646450401093766353765470391940053976581673820100904017915649851776012
aaa77145002865706330666132592395348485552513139680613495603565866307034165415519168

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL100%$14 days ago
SELL0%$0.24 days ago
SELL0%$0.14 days ago
SELL100%$3.4K6 days ago
SELL100%$2.5K7 days ago
SELL100%$208 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

191 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

wagmiser · 19 days ago
jesse tweeted that decentralizing is getting closer.... token soon fellas
steam22 · 3 months ago
yes always the same...
alts4life · 3 months ago
baiting never launching
SomeshKadam · 3 months ago
Who are these bots commenting below ? BTW $BASE this year is an easy one ig :))
anonymous · 3 months ago
base for everyone
Amitredhu1322 · 4 months ago
Today is the day. Hoping for something big
perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
What are all these bots in the comments
fghbfd · 4 months ago
Polymarket never lets me down.
tyghjdtgjh · 4 months ago
Great content.
dszvfDV · 4 months ago
Practical
sdfbxfcgfcx · 4 months ago
nice
tjhgnfghfgh · 4 months ago
good
wstgswagtsdgt · 4 months ago
Amazing.
derfgfgsfdrgr · 4 months ago
Wonderful.
efasdfwsaed · 4 months ago
Play smart, not reckless
efrsadgsdrfg · 4 months ago
Great experience overall
rfhgtsdhg · 4 months ago
Odds update in real time
dfsAFdsadf · 4 months ago
All good
dfrgdhghyrtyh · 4 months ago
Great experience overall.
dfrghdfgdfg · 4 months ago
Full of surprises

As of Sep 29, 11:29 PM UTC