Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Base will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 63% No | Open |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 59% · best ask 60%
Top holders
- MaxEnt61335977902549040838647614340959106920439456466051953454810638023705765740133
- LemonBrothers50067946737985819644638241783771238619616055560007143911749636220745966692358
- Decayer61335977902549040838647614340959106920439456466051953454810638023705765740133
- qmarktea250067946737985819644638241783771238619616055560007143911749636220745966692358
- valera50067946737985819644638241783771238619616055560007143911749636220745966692358
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL60%$4.45 days ago
- SELL40%$8.55 days ago
- BUY61%$13.65 days ago
- SELL39%$11.85 days ago
- SELL40%$10.95 days ago
- BUY59%$4.95 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
191 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- wagmiser · 19 days ago
jesse tweeted that decentralizing is getting closer.... token soon fellas
- steam22 · 3 months ago
yes always the same...
- alts4life · 3 months ago
baiting never launching
- SomeshKadam · 3 months ago
Who are these bots commenting below ? BTW $BASE this year is an easy one ig :))
- anonymous · 3 months ago
base for everyone
- Amitredhu1322 · 4 months ago
Today is the day. Hoping for something big
- perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
What are all these bots in the comments
- fghbfd · 4 months ago
Polymarket never lets me down.
- tyghjdtgjh · 4 months ago
Great content.
- dszvfDV · 4 months ago
Practical
- sdfbxfcgfcx · 4 months ago
nice
- tjhgnfghfgh · 4 months ago
good
- wstgswagtsdgt · 4 months ago
Amazing.
- derfgfgsfdrgr · 4 months ago
Wonderful.
- efasdfwsaed · 4 months ago
Play smart, not reckless
- efrsadgsdrfg · 4 months ago
Great experience overall
- rfhgtsdhg · 4 months ago
Odds update in real time
- dfsAFdsadf · 4 months ago
All good
- dfrgdhghyrtyh · 4 months ago
Great experience overall.
- dfrghdfgdfg · 4 months ago
Full of surprises
As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC