Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Polymarket | 65% Yes | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Polymarket | 78% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 99% · best ask 100%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966107049776653429614311499802095790334454265647104606849791183758407913835658632
- tjofi44663682164553668338726293875833954594306929760561477969844966033692750056630
- 0xbae5fae959ec262bab3aaeba20b7ba14678d05f344663682164553668338726293875833954594306929760561477969844966033692750056630
- orifcontex44663682164553668338726293875833954594306929760561477969844966033692750056630
- fiter44663682164553668338726293875833954594306929760561477969844966033692750056630
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC