Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election. Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify. If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 15 days agoBest bid 4% · best ask 5%
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Discussion on Predxy
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16 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- MannyTheBaddy · 3 months ago
In 2027 maybe but not in 26
- ayild3 · 4 months ago
If Supreme court doesn't take any action on CHP case, than it's unclear and seems like september 1 will be waited for decision but Ozel will form the new party anyway. No action by supreme court will be considered as "no decision" by Ozel and his team. Because on the other hand public is actively pressing and forcing him not to waste the energy on CHP and form the new party as soon as possible. This may cause an immediate election decision by Erdogan, in this case by parliament, because if Erdoğan himself calls an election instead of parliament he can not be a candidate since he is on his second term.
- ayild3 · 4 months ago
End of november is being speculated. I think it'll be more clear after udiciary break on july 17. If supreme court decides favour of Kilicdaroglu on CHP case and Ozel is forced to form a new party i think an early election is much more possible than now.
- hyperhaluk · 5 months ago
What if its still held in 2028 but its considered an "early" election
- Gorgeous-Parameter · 5 months ago
only depend to erdoğan . have to be block all politiks competitors firstly.
- Turlesss · 5 months ago
Erdogan is gonna make minimum wage for retired from 16k lira to 36k lira early election signal
- Allahbaba · 5 months ago
2026 diyor 2026da olmasının imkanı yok 2027 ilk çeyrekte olur
- zero-to-zero · 5 months ago
Given the question of how many times Erdoğan can run for election consecutively, I think the possibility of an early election is high. Let's see if there will be an announcement in 2026 👀👀
- 1kto1m · 5 months ago
too many hype but nothing new
- debased · 5 months ago
wew i have too many shares. what happened lol
- miowsu · 5 months ago
bir türk olarak evet her türlü erken seçim yapacaklar reis koltuğu bırakmaz
- zero-to-zero · 5 months ago
The fact that the election is in 2027 will not result in a "NO" outcome for this market.
- 1kto1m · 5 months ago
no as a turkish
- gokmen · 5 months ago
No, don't be sure.
- BearXL · 5 months ago
of course no, it will be in 2027, free money
- 1kto1m · 5 months ago
no lol
As of Nov 1, 04:42 PM UTC