PolymarketOpen

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

No86%

Yes15%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$310.9

Spread6%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	67% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	69% No	—	—	—	Open
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	75% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	53% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	51% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	66% No	—	—	—	Open
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	79% No	$79	—	—	Open
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	54% No	$45	—	—	Open
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	87% No	$45	—	—	Open
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?	Polymarket	75% No	$11.5	—	—	Open

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Comments4

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4 comments

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LeonMusk · last month
Shocking this hasn’t spread more
kalsarikannit · 3 months ago
A simple google search shows that the potential patient in Scotland was tested and it came back negative for ebola
Poontanggang · 3 months ago
UK has just had a confirmed case.
kalsarikannit · 3 months ago
Come on, gang! Let's get this party started, Ebola 2026! People keep getting tested in my city, so far only meningitis cases. Covid was fun, but I think we can do better *cowboy sounds*

As of Sep 29, 11:17 PM UTC