PolymarketOpen

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

No54%

Yes47%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:09 PM UTC

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24h volume$30.6

7d volume$531.4

30d volume$2.8K

Liquidity$204.2

Spread43%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

Holders84

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments18

Best bid 37% · best ask 40%

Top holders

tubbz16844156785300050520044318109177827624287359310287456907900035602063991273180895
buoys94410949915110952396457047756882180290067528472990180593943287211358305251309
Close-Dogwood94410949915110952396457047756882180290067528472990180593943287211358305251309
918273645546372819094410949915110952396457047756882180290067528472990180593943287211358305251309
odinguy44156785300050520044318109177827624287359310287456907900035602063991273180895

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY60%$125 days ago
SELL42%$24.76 days ago
SELL43%$5.26 days ago
BUY46%$9.66 days ago
BUY46%$26 days ago
SELL54%$1.36 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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18 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

manta7 · 23 days ago
for a different case. not related to this impeachment. sooo....
NyxieMoonpaw-166 · 25 days ago
Arrest warrant served to her yesterday, sooo....
dcruiser · 2 months ago
Zero activity on your profile. Larp.
beggaruwu · 3 months ago
then buy more NO!
supercard · 3 months ago
nah. we need 16 votes, we don't have that. unless one of the villars, then loren and bong go switched side. which 100% won't happen.
lividor · 3 months ago
then buy more YES!
lividor · 3 months ago
bought at 10% YES sold at 55% YES easiest 5.5x off my life salamat BP sara!
supercard · 3 months ago
No - panalo ang mga bettors. No - talo ang taumbayan. pick your poison lang mga closeted dds!
Red-Cot · 3 months ago
YES paldo na tayo mwahahaha
TangalogBonjings · 3 months ago
YES! papaldo yata ako ah.
Jetpast · 3 months ago
Nakapag NO na ba ang mga DDS?
Scared-Unit-Curriculum · 3 months ago
yes to hahhaahh
yasnalab · 4 months ago
easiest YES ever
lividor · 4 months ago
i know this is an easy no but will buy yes at low and sell yes at high =)
zazapatilya · 4 months ago
this is an easy NO
perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
this country is doomed fr
Close-Dogwood · 4 months ago
No
perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
🙏

As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC