PolymarketOpen

Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?

No62%

Yes39%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:07 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.6K

Spread2%

ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$292.5	—	—	Open
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Polymarket	84% No	$166.8	—	—	Open
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Polymarket	71% Yes	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders41

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments26

Best bid 61% · best ask 62%

Top holders

hitjnn21452991629302413705598808801956633891046885257813980917956896723731456517318216
twe2nty108274524892094352080696928328703984525741173396118703085677150601691385926482
Choroo108274524892094352080696928328703984525741173396118703085677150601691385926482
dima23000108274524892094352080696928328703984525741173396118703085677150601691385926482
Moist-Eve52991629302413705598808801956633891046885257813980917956896723731456517318216

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL61%$20.95 days ago
SELL38%$6.45 days ago
BUY61%$28.58 days ago
BUY58%$2008 days ago
SELL44%$9.89 days ago
SELL55%$1.210 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

26 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

altaironmission · 7 days ago
Arc launched the token on chain, and its still unresolved? Wtf poly
debythm · 2 months ago
mainnet, not token
SherDilCrypto · 2 months ago
16th september
orjn · 2 months ago
Perps 00qn24kt
Decayer · 2 months ago
no tge this year
SIMOMEGA · 3 months ago
wth does that have to do with this market
perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
don't tge this year!
hose · 4 months ago
what does @follow-me-son know?
ethp · 5 months ago
ok
Rhiannon7 · 5 months ago
Growth sectors have valuation repair space, worthy of gradual layout on dips.
wes-bet · 9 months ago
legend
Emotional-Wriggler · 10 months ago
classic u
Emotional-Wriggler · 10 months ago
lost it again classic me
Giant-Lacquerware · 10 months ago
this site robbing me blind where’s the good one
Waterlogged-Lobotomy · 10 months ago
hidden site yall swear by
Grotesque-Terminal · 10 months ago
hate these conniving semites pulling every string
Dapper-Wallaby · 10 months ago
eichmann kidnapped and brainwashed mossad lies
Intelligent-Domain · 10 months ago
thanks
Intelligent-Domain · 10 months ago
does anyone have a new dashboard pls
Worldly-Hut · 10 months ago
goat

As of Sep 29, 10:13 PM UTC