PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

No84%

Yes17%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:35 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$166.8

7d volume$2K

30d volume$12K

Liquidity$13.7K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists settlement at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC; PredictFun lists no separate settlement time.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:16:30.268836418Z
read Sep 29, 04:41 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
205 holders · 26 comments · read Sep 28, 02:13 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Polymarket	62% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$292.5	—	—	Open
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Polymarket	71% Yes	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders205

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments26

Best bid 16% · best ask 17%

Top holders

hitjnn21471078398046052513900454776889035397076918632655062606631549824290745001594270
qmarktea274220600255728402746320719031543079446357147176847334085735008480993175952322
MaxEnt74220600255728402746320719031543079446357147176847334085735008480993175952322
09876poiu71078398046052513900454776889035397076918632655062606631549824290745001594270
zzaqq274220600255728402746320719031543079446357147176847334085735008480993175952322

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY84%$19.62 days ago
BUY15%$7.54 days ago
SELL13%$1.14 days ago
BUY14%$0.74 days ago
BUY14%$154 days ago
BUY15%$11.25 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

26 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

altaironmission · 7 days ago
Arc launched the token on chain, and its still unresolved? Wtf poly
debythm · 2 months ago
mainnet, not token
SherDilCrypto · 2 months ago
16th september
orjn · 2 months ago
Perps 00qn24kt
Decayer · 2 months ago
no tge this year
SIMOMEGA · 3 months ago
wth does that have to do with this market
perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
don't tge this year!
hose · 4 months ago
what does @follow-me-son know?
ethp · 5 months ago
ok
Rhiannon7 · 5 months ago
Growth sectors have valuation repair space, worthy of gradual layout on dips.
wes-bet · 9 months ago
legend
Emotional-Wriggler · 10 months ago
classic u
Emotional-Wriggler · 10 months ago
lost it again classic me
Giant-Lacquerware · 10 months ago
this site robbing me blind where’s the good one
Waterlogged-Lobotomy · 10 months ago
hidden site yall swear by
Grotesque-Terminal · 10 months ago
hate these conniving semites pulling every string
Dapper-Wallaby · 10 months ago
eichmann kidnapped and brainwashed mossad lies
Intelligent-Domain · 10 months ago
thanks
Intelligent-Domain · 10 months ago
does anyone have a new dashboard pls
Worldly-Hut · 10 months ago
goat

As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC