PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:07 PM UTC

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24h volume$292.5

7d volume$1.1K

30d volume$28.7K

Liquidity$27.7K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a resolution time, while PredictFun does not; this does not change the question.

Polymarketthis market
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
203 holders · 26 comments · read Sep 24, 04:47 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:16:30.36919226Z
read Sep 29, 04:37 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Polymarket	62% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Polymarket	84% No	$166.8	—	—	Open
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Polymarket	71% Yes	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders203

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments26

Best bid 0% · best ask 1%

Top holders

qmarktea216033439922413604669899929545449697907602373288485319137951833450126918570060
hitjnn21415373464573264796504651664181431977521307129068468511757109961998999470530471
yeahyeahsure15373464573264796504651664181431977521307129068468511757109961998999470530471
jorgecheesey15373464573264796504651664181431977521307129068468511757109961998999470530471
Perypery15373464573264796504651664181431977521307129068468511757109961998999470530471

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL100%$26 days ago
BUY100%$336 days ago
SELL99%$6.67 days ago
BUY100%$28 days ago
SELL99%$13.89 days ago
SELL99%$1.39 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

26 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

altaironmission · 7 days ago
Arc launched the token on chain, and its still unresolved? Wtf poly
debythm · 2 months ago
mainnet, not token
SherDilCrypto · 2 months ago
16th september
orjn · 2 months ago
Perps 00qn24kt
Decayer · 2 months ago
no tge this year
SIMOMEGA · 3 months ago
wth does that have to do with this market
perpcode0072nell · 4 months ago
don't tge this year!
hose · 4 months ago
what does @follow-me-son know?
ethp · 5 months ago
ok
Rhiannon7 · 5 months ago
Growth sectors have valuation repair space, worthy of gradual layout on dips.
wes-bet · 9 months ago
legend
Emotional-Wriggler · 10 months ago
classic u
Emotional-Wriggler · 10 months ago
lost it again classic me
Giant-Lacquerware · 10 months ago
this site robbing me blind where’s the good one
Waterlogged-Lobotomy · 10 months ago
hidden site yall swear by
Grotesque-Terminal · 10 months ago
hate these conniving semites pulling every string
Dapper-Wallaby · 10 months ago
eichmann kidnapped and brainwashed mossad lies
Intelligent-Domain · 10 months ago
thanks
Intelligent-Domain · 10 months ago
does anyone have a new dashboard pls
Worldly-Hut · 10 months ago
goat

As of Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC