PolymarketOpen

Trump goes to space in 2026?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Nov 1, 10:11 AM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$5

7d volume$4.8K

30d volume$10.8K

Liquidity$94.7K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 15 days ago

Holders109

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments9

Best bid 98% · best ask 99%

Top holders

Gullible-Pomelo51327205945025992387979739974870163273260556685421211050755617026261070134394
Car49129573779930414571037105984352783528414856447076688838419021225761837936877
jpa62lfbp7le51327205945025992387979739974870163273260556685421211050755617026261070134394
ArbitrageTaker49129573779930414571037105984352783528414856447076688838419021225761837936877
Trading4Fridge49129573779930414571037105984352783528414856447076688838419021225761837936877

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL1%$315 days ago
BUY98%$62515 days ago
BUY98%$55918 days ago
SELL98%$919 days ago
SELL98%$520 days ago
BUY98%$520 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

9 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

WillBeQuant · 2 months ago
this is the least risky market I have seen in a long time free 2 % in 3,5 month
poolysydney · 2 months ago
are we there?
Gullible-Pomelo · 5 months ago
right biggest bagholder to date, someone beat my position, LFG.
Gullible-Pomelo · 5 months ago
trump to space with SpaceX IPO is easyyyy money on.
United-Mastoid-Suggestion · 6 months ago
hahah gotta love the cover logo
fractaliz · 6 months ago
but what if DT just visited aircraft or spacecraft after this aircraft crosses the U.S. space threshold, in terms nothing about that DT must be on board at the moment when aircraft crosses the U.S. space
SheepToken · 6 months ago
POST THE DERIVATIVE MARKET RIGHT NOW
Xamarixo · 6 months ago
TheNoobBeaver · 6 months ago

As of Nov 1, 01:55 PM UTC