PolymarketOpen

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$18.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:15 PM UTC