PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

No90%

Yes10%

Price checked at Oct 1, 05:26 AM UTC

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24h volume$6.2

7d volume$201.5

30d volume$1.7K

Liquidity$69.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves if Whitmer accepts the nomination, while Polymarket specifies the first formally nominated person who accepts and uses official Democratic Party sources; Polymarket also states that a replacement before election day does not change resolution. These are resolution-rule differences for the same nomination fact, not a different question.

KalshiOpen →
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
If Gretchen Whitmer accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 30, 07:53 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
43 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 11:22 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 7 hours ago

Holders43

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 9% · best ask 10%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296685021103924684989509516592744386487166300181642722719639331365028731078557569
madmartigan563177101340050169318806963210043458678982945705612757979988797235973374130873
tylerpredict85021103924684989509516592744386487166300181642722719639331365028731078557569
peepeepooppoop63177101340050169318806963210043458678982945705612757979988797235973374130873
Anchored-Pawnshop63177101340050169318806963210043458678982945705612757979988797235973374130873

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BUY92%$5.710 hours ago
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SELL90%$24.33 days ago

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As of Oct 1, 06:10 AM UTC