Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.8K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies an October 26, 2026 scheduled date, a June 30, 2027 fallback, and Ottawa/credible-reporting resolution rules. Kalshi may resolve early based on designated media consensus; these are settlement-rule and timing differences, not different questions.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

    The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

    41 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 21, 02:04 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

    If Catherine McKenney wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 08:07 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket82% YesOpen
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket93% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders41
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 1%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296645625351717211632466154897598042280145046206598491016877910547198462565432464
  • planktonXD113453545729847282507800639673403901861541180061747242294465420827231556243852
  • Drangtian113453545729847282507800639673403901861541180061747242294465420827231556243852
  • 0x7d32490255f347d4b40875a9caaca48ba4cc96ed113453545729847282507800639673403901861541180061747242294465420827231556243852
  • Offbeat-Injoke113453545729847282507800639673403901861541180061747242294465420827231556243852

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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC