Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi lists a resolution time of October 26, 2026 at 14:00 UTC and may resolve early via designated-media consensus; Polymarket lists October 26, 2026 at 00:00 UTC and uses credible reporting, with Ottawa official information if ambiguous. Polymarket additionally specifies an “Other” fallback if the result is unknown by June 30, 2027; these are resolution rules rather than different questions.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

    If Neil Saravanamuttoo wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 06:48 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

    The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

    41 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 06:24 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket82% YesOpen
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket93% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders41
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 94% · best ask 98%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296642636693379057956429821056166298509293849906832537355185947927693871371125797
  • LornaPredicts71922058439496022257083362865349010146329414874659599187021693627494765347769
  • Finished-Subconscious71922058439496022257083362865349010146329414874659599187021693627494765347769
  • 52adsa71922058439496022257083362865349010146329414874659599187021693627494765347769
  • banestow71922058439496022257083362865349010146329414874659599187021693627494765347769

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL1%$0.45 days ago
  • BUY99%$9.96 days ago
  • BUY99%$39.46 days ago
  • BUY99%$44.46 days ago
  • BUY3%$1.17 days ago
  • BUY99%$9.98 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC