Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

No93%
Yes7%

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24h volume$15
7d volume$262.3
30d volume$4K
Liquidity$11.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may settle early after designated media consensus and specifies its listed settlement time, while Polymarket uses credible reporting or official Ottawa information and provides a fallback date of June 30, 2027 if the result remains unknown. These are resolution-method and timing differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

    If Jeff Leiper wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

    The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

    57 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 06:53 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders57
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 92% · best ask 93%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296618885062486136388979368058023172681777286316698671080559039805290930548759460
  • InterestingUser84325253103161987091801518161713084709104533160519727692166821832771839734611
  • Rr5584325253103161987091801518161713084709104533160519727692166821832771839734611
  • varch0118885062486136388979368058023172681777286316698671080559039805290930548759460
  • RichRichster84325253103161987091801518161713084709104533160519727692166821832771839734611

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL7%$3.64 days ago
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  • SELL8%$0.44 days ago
  • BUY92%$9.25 days ago
  • SELL8%$2.26 days ago
  • BUY91%$9.16 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 11:46 PM UTC