Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benedict Wong as Wong? | Polymarket | 73% Yes | Open |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | Polymarket | 57% Yes | Open |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | Polymarket | 79% No | Open |
| Halle Berry as Storm? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | Polymarket | 67% Yes | Open |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? | Polymarket | 58% Yes | Open |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? | Polymarket | 84% Yes | Open |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? | Polymarket | 73% Yes | Open |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | Polymarket | 54% No | Open |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? | Polymarket | 71% Yes | Open |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? | Polymarket | 56% No | Open |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | Polymarket | 93% Yes | Open |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | Polymarket | 87% Yes | Open |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | Polymarket | 58% Yes | Open |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | Polymarket | 93% Yes | Open |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | Polymarket | 94% Yes | Open |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
Venue activity
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20 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Turbo-J · 19 days ago
wondering the same thing for tom holland
- Turbo-J · 19 days ago
does an end credit scene count
- Wachufleiba88 · last month
add chris pratt
- Chims · last month
add iron man
- Quittinglife · 2 months ago
add Chris Pratt as Star-Lord, Oscar Isaac as Moon Knight
- Sid999 · 2 months ago
what about the marvel logo footage does that count if it has a still of them all?
- pkeane808 · 2 months ago
do post credit scene count? im putting it all on dr strange to not be in the movie
- chessplayer · 2 months ago
That's why I won't trade here
- dmnx · 3 months ago
what if the actors's old footage is shown in the movie? would that count?
- tiongbu · 3 months ago
Can't believe they're adding Hulk Hogan to Avengers
- itspinkman · 3 months ago
lebron james as spiderman
- Sid999 · 4 months ago
as long as it's the named character and actor it's fine
- Moist-Decongestant · 5 months ago
How do we deal with the variant situation? If the actor play a different variant of the original character
- Poyo · 5 months ago
marvel movies suck more than star wars
- Unfortunate-Acrylic · 5 months ago
We will be here waiting
- Raxyboy · 5 months ago
Hi
- Predictive-Samurai · 6 months ago
- Predictive-Samurai · 6 months ago
Brah Deadpool and Wolverine will return in Avengers: Doomsday
- Chims · 6 months ago
no iron man？
- KendrickLa · 6 months ago
which genius one wrote this rule?
As of Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC