PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:53 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$14K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Polymarketthis market
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
48 holders · 10 comments · read Sep 27, 11:43 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
Toronto mayoral election winner?: Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 10:38 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Polymarket	88% Yes	$0.5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders48

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments11

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296655550992118535410804437700978006245986386302550415415753326941453158998142664
progress-toronto64958997700881143908740961005166086053869106281791292213180980525775288111255
Crypto-Well64958997700881143908740961005166086053869106281791292213180980525775288111255
planktonXD64958997700881143908740961005166086053869106281791292213180980525775288111255
Zypf764958997700881143908740961005166086053869106281791292213180980525775288111255

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$406 days ago
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Discussion on Predxy

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11 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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Finished-Subconscious · 9 days ago
Last chance to save Toronto
northtorontoboy · 29 days ago
Why is Chris Alexander not on this?
CosmicCedar · last month
add Gong
progress-toronto · last month
Tory's getting in the race
EfrahimGoldstein · 2 months ago
Interesting that i cant see no whales position
Gifted-Tomato · 2 months ago
Chow’s lead looks comfortable but Alexander voters will break hard for Bradford if he drops out closer to election day
yukonboi · 5 months ago
Can't feel good about Brad Bradford. His first name is in his last name
moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
lol next time you troll could you troll to me ;
nicoco89 · 6 months ago
i'm just fuc**** my copytraders ;)
moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
how did you buy olivia chow so cheap
moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
nico why did you buy ana bailao

As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC