Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Polymarket | 88% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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11 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Finished-Subconscious · 9 days ago
Last chance to save Toronto
- northtorontoboy · 29 days ago
Why is Chris Alexander not on this?
- CosmicCedar · last month
add Gong
- progress-toronto · last month
Tory's getting in the race
- EfrahimGoldstein · 2 months ago
Interesting that i cant see no whales position
- Gifted-Tomato · 2 months ago
Chow’s lead looks comfortable but Alexander voters will break hard for Bradford if he drops out closer to election day
- yukonboi · 5 months ago
Can't feel good about Brad Bradford. His first name is in his last name
- moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
lol next time you troll could you troll to me ;
- nicoco89 · 6 months ago
i'm just fuc**** my copytraders ;)
- moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
how did you buy olivia chow so cheap
- moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
nico why did you buy ana bailao
As of Sep 29, 11:45 PM UTC