Toronto mayoral election winner?: Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

No100%
John Tory0%

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24h volume$27
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

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  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

    The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

    48 holders · 10 comments · read Sep 27, 11:43 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Toronto mayoral election winner?: Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

    If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 08:05 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 09:20 PM UTC