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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

No84%

Yes17%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:03 PM UTC

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24h volume$203.5

7d volume$261.5

30d volume$1.7K

Liquidity$1.1K

Spread6%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC