PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:53 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$27.1K

Spread1%

ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The same question elsewhere

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Polymarketthis market
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
20 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 27, 03:43 AM UTC
LimitlessOpen →
Next Senate Majority Leader: John Barrasso
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
2 holders · read Sep 29, 10:39 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	60% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders20

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Best bid 1% · best ask 2%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296665826360936964389345713897522678178492688997537962832565995990469345286251693
wing12342261184964657301912024946733173599364451465854559912241433434875084803208989
thecaricature2261184964657301912024946733173599364451465854559912241433434875084803208989
valmier2261184964657301912024946733173599364451465854559912241433434875084803208989
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.2261184964657301912024946733173599364451465854559912241433434875084803208989

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL1%$0.112 days ago
SELL1%$012 days ago
SELL1%$0.325 days ago
SELL1%$0.525 days ago
BUY0%$1.529 days ago
SELL99%$1.62 months ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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johnnath1222 · 5 months ago
Lets buy up next MN governor Amy Klobuchar as senate majority leader.
SingletonFamilyFund · 6 months ago
How is Klobuchar even an option? She’s resigning from the Senate to run for Governor in Minnesota…

As of Sep 29, 11:34 PM UTC