Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoBest bid 28% · best ask 31%
Top holders
- Wojtek103638738828736222079942117940412313765736950739202355434346194358609280922077
- insidero13114457426549800815835172881728986047023795056497928496396960811137560416923
- qqqmmmccc13114457426549800815835172881728986047023795056497928496396960811137560416923
- TANGO853103638738828736222079942117940412313765736950739202355434346194358609280922077
- RegThinks13114457426549800815835172881728986047023795056497928496396960811137560416923
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL29%$0.85 days ago
- SELL29%$0.85 days ago
- SELL68%$47.56 days ago
- BUY28%$5.66 days ago
- BUY73%$14.66 days ago
- BUY72%$28.86 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- TheJews · 5 months ago
I assume it depends on what is written on her ID
- alexaverroes · 7 months ago
Trans women included?
As of Oct 1, 11:04 PM UTC