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Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

No93%

Yes7%

Price checked at Oct 1, 12:20 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.3K

7d volume$2.9K

30d volume$12K

Liquidity$4.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 22 hours ago

Holders74

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments11

Top holders

Ajjooli39659340090349879720485985383071920490050242487576157483005218461343917777798
SM4RTAsS29983398734666016812286750567939946408052024167814170736793692754576540623567
Parvizio29983398734666016812286750567939946408052024167814170736793692754576540623567
All-Scrambled29983398734666016812286750567939946408052024167814170736793692754576540623567
SamuelWatskins29983398734666016812286750567939946408052024167814170736793692754576540623567

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Discussion on Predxy

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11 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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Homeless-the-grey · 7 days ago
Yes wint pas wanneer de koning officieel de tweede kamer ontbindt. Dit kan soms 60-80 dagen duren na dat het kabinet valt. Iedereen die yes heeft kan dus fluiten naar zijn geld, tenzij het kabinet in oktober valt. Valt het in november is de kans groot dat de tweede kamer pas in januari wordt ontbonden.
BrumelCompanyLTD · 3 months ago
omg
ElethiomeltheChairmaker · 4 months ago
House of Representatives is not the same as the cabinet. House is still the same as at the start of the year.
nimaro · 5 months ago
waarom zijn de odds zo verdacht laag, het vertrouwen daalt en het yes aandeel ook, hier klopt iets niet
Homeless-the-grey · 7 months ago
Waar gaat deze markt over
nimaro · 7 months ago
agreed
kek0 · 7 months ago
The current ''demissionair'' House of Representatives as per Jan 27, 2026 will be dissolved on monday 23 Feb. So reading the rules its a ''yes'' as per today...
nimaro · 7 months ago
gaat dit om een demissionair kabinet of de installatie van een geheel nieuw kabinet voor 2026?
Denneappel · 8 months ago
Zonder beëdiging geen demissionair kabinet.
pooperr · 8 months ago
Daar gaat deze markt niet over
kek0 · 8 months ago
De beediging van het nieuwe kabinet staat voorlopig gepland voor maandag 23 februari

As of Oct 1, 12:26 PM UTC