Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $8,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Sourcehttps://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- Polymarketthis market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $8,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
0 holders · read Sep 28, 07:53 PM UTC
- OpinionOpen →
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026 — >8,000
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
read Sep 30, 03:58 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? | Polymarket | 52% No | Open |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,500 on the final trading day of December 2026? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of December 2026? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 04:10 AM UTC