Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 2% · best ask 2%
Top holders
- trumpishonest5467804207627746074350058171231007317885135080773444922118194143589586991853
- 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b045467804207627746074350058171231007317885135080773444922118194143589586991853
- BafanaBafana5467804207627746074350058171231007317885135080773444922118194143589586991853
- Melqui5467804207627746074350058171231007317885135080773444922118194143589586991853
- Ra777110230977356176010384435703291877659094126946615135802610842454733775179813024
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY98%$73.79 days ago
- SELL2%$0.415 days ago
- BUY3%$1.721 days ago
- BUY98%$521 days ago
- SELL97%$5.122 days ago
- BUY98%$2024 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 02:44 AM UTC