PolymarketOpen

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No93%

Yes8%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:07 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$11.2K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	93% No	$164.2	—	—	Open
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Polymarket	94% No	$7.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders677

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 90% · best ask 93%

Top holders

dghnfgjn70026524713009669538763377800911903794570186848119999786864842995489783143838
sdrhertdrf70026524713009669538763377800911903794570186848119999786864842995489783143838
trhtfhftgh70026524713009669538763377800911903794570186848119999786864842995489783143838
M2sx92kljs422604255573890777203232733890491993188465657717521065393738118576629485345716
Valen92604255573890777203232733890491993188465657717521065393738118576629485345716

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL9%$111 days ago
SELL7%$0.712 days ago
SELL92%$204.213 days ago
BUY8%$3.218 days ago
BUY6%$2.418 days ago
BUY6%$2.418 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:27 PM UTC