PolymarketOpen

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

No91%

Yes9%

Price checked at Nov 1, 09:53 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$15.5K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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As of Nov 1, 10:14 AM UTC