LimitlessOpen

Next Senate Majority Leader: John Cornyn

No50%
Yes50%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Next Senate Majority Leader: John ThuneLimitless73% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: John BarrassoLimitless98% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Chuck SchumerLimitless60% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Brian SchatzLimitless92% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Steve DainesLimitless99% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Tom CottonLimitless96% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Mark KellyLimitless50% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Cory BookerLimitless97% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Amy KlobucharLimitless99% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Patty MurrayLimitless96% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Rick ScottLimitless50% NoOpen
Next Senate Majority Leader: Dick DurbinLimitless50% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:39 PM UTC