PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$245.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesDec 6, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in listed settlement timing: Polymarket specifies December 6, 2026, while PredictFun has no fixed date and uses the official final-race result. Their cancellation contingencies are worded differently, but no material difference exists for the ordinary resolution of the championship outcome.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
read Sep 29, 08:21 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
660 holders · 270 comments · read Sep 25, 11:29 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	99% No	$2.6K	—	—	Open
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	99% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	91% Yes	$953.4	—	—	Open
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	95% No	$733.2	—	—	Open
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	100% No	$410.1	—	—	Open
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Polymarket	100% No	$86.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders660

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments235

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966115566215208676819623338601769630868080437681137578005512462887928091437806438
Quarterly-Outset45035925547723382374916856041538026483546248029152755914741212781718674476988
Nooserac45035925547723382374916856041538026483546248029152755914741212781718674476988
TimeTraveler45035925547723382374916856041538026483546248029152755914741212781718674476988
300PS45035925547723382374916856041538026483546248029152755914741212781718674476988

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL100%$8.54 days ago
BUY0%$37 days ago
SELL100%$18 days ago
SELL100%$28.58 days ago
SELL100%$2210 days ago
BUY0%$4.911 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

235 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

JohnnyBlaze1 · 14 days ago
We agree on this lmao. Imo only Lando has the ability to steal this championship and even then very unlikely
4751346 · 16 days ago
91c for antonelli?
DontTrustMe · 16 days ago
On paper, still 9 races to go representing 37.4% of the total amount of available points to be distributed but yeah... it's not looking good for anyone not named Kimi Antonelli. Incredibly frustrating championship to watch since he has been gifted wins & big point swings race weekend after race weekend... 🥴
Turbo-J · 16 days ago
So this market is over
True-Raven-Moose · 17 days ago
the kid just won from 19th at monza and sportstensor is still showing out some path where russell steals the title whatever that scenario is i want to see it
Akula-310 · 19 days ago
The case for an upset in the 2026 F1 drivers title deserves actual reasoning🥴
sw777 · 20 days ago
Equally, past success doesn't guarantee another victory in the 2026 F1 drivers title
Gundiga · 21 days ago
Antonelli looks convincing, but reliability can still turn a championship.
BFJHSGB · 21 days ago
What is the strongest argument against the favorite for the 2026 F1 drivers' title?
DontTrustMe · 23 days ago
It was never going to be anything else than a Russell versus Antonelli championship. Still 9 or 10 races to go but realistically, Russell needs an Antonelli DNF/0 point ASAP to still have a shot at the title.
ThierryFR · 23 days ago
Buy Russel now. Great opportunity, you wont regret it
ThierryFR · 23 days ago
Russel will come back in the championship. You will not have the opportunity to buy so low from now on !
suvarnahabibi · last month
you can buy no
suvarnahabibi · last month
front runner but not top
poxiy50 · 2 months ago
Leeeecleeeeerc,Leeeecleeeee khkh rc
Fikus911 · 2 months ago
If Rassell win I’m buying funko pop petronas
vigfood404 · 2 months ago
not no
chikipikinss · 2 months ago
hamilton!
rillsoapsters · 2 months ago
all can change in moment
bananajamsamin · 2 months ago
or bmw mm??

As of Sep 29, 11:23 PM UTC