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Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No—
Yes—

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in listed settlement timing: Polymarket specifies December 6, 2026, while PredictFun has no fixed date and uses the official final-race result. Their cancellation contingencies are worded differently, but no material difference exists for the ordinary resolution of the championship outcome.
  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

    read Sep 29, 08:21 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

    660 holders · 270 comments · read Sep 25, 11:29 PM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 12:19 AM UTC