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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume$1K
7d volume$40.5K
30d volume$167.4K
Liquidity$110.3K
Spread0%
ResolvesDec 6, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. All use official Formula 1 results and the F1 tiebreak procedure; PredictFun and Polymarket include a March 31, 2027 completion fallback, while Myriad specifies cancellation or unavailable-source conditions. Polymarket lists a December 6, 2026 resolution time and Myriad a December 6 market close; these timing and cancellation provisions do not materially change the question.
  • MyriadOpen →

    Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 6, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 6, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, after the last race weekend has concluded. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” the driver finishing first in the driver standings of the 2026 F1 season. - Resolves to “**No**” for all other drivers. ### **Resolution Details:** - The primary source for resolving this market will be official information published by Formula 1. - If, at any stage, a listed driver can no longer win the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship under F1 rules (for example, if they are mathematically eliminated), the relevant market will resolve to “No.” - In the event that multiple drivers are tied for first place in the drivers’ standings, this market will resolve based on the official F1 tiebreak procedure used to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Champion. ### **Cancelation Conditions:** - The 2026 FIA Formula One season is canceled, abandoned, or not completed in a manner that produces official final Drivers’ standings. - The FIA fails to publish official final standings. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to definitively determine the Drivers’ Champion. - The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.

    read Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

    738 holders · 270 comments · read Sep 28, 04:00 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

    read Sep 29, 08:17 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders738
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments235

Best bid 1% · best ask 1%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296692810961400014685661454592832771984088831290167084620635197423420158788055855
  • Quarterly-Outset49363857890713679658249116526667302240522215201279074666732334459281427193397
  • 0x000c8cb93bb5fd4c9f292c6b4c5f7c021bb6bcf349363857890713679658249116526667302240522215201279074666732334459281427193397
  • botpromark49363857890713679658249116526667302240522215201279074666732334459281427193397
  • Nooserac49363857890713679658249116526667302240522215201279074666732334459281427193397

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY99%$2502 days ago
  • SELL1%$3.22 days ago
  • SELL99%$72 days ago
  • BUY99%$72 days ago
  • SELL1%$02 days ago
  • SELL1%$0.23 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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235 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • JohnnyBlaze1 · 14 days ago

    We agree on this lmao. Imo only Lando has the ability to steal this championship and even then very unlikely

  • 4751346 · 16 days ago

    91c for antonelli?

  • DontTrustMe · 16 days ago

    On paper, still 9 races to go representing 37.4% of the total amount of available points to be distributed but yeah... it's not looking good for anyone not named Kimi Antonelli. Incredibly frustrating championship to watch since he has been gifted wins & big point swings race weekend after race weekend... 🥴

  • Turbo-J · 16 days ago

    So this market is over

  • True-Raven-Moose · 17 days ago

    the kid just won from 19th at monza and sportstensor is still showing out some path where russell steals the title whatever that scenario is i want to see it

  • Akula-310 · 19 days ago

    The case for an upset in the 2026 F1 drivers title deserves actual reasoning🥴

  • sw777 · 20 days ago

    Equally, past success doesn't guarantee another victory in the 2026 F1 drivers title

  • Gundiga · 21 days ago

    Antonelli looks convincing, but reliability can still turn a championship.

  • BFJHSGB · 21 days ago

    What is the strongest argument against the favorite for the 2026 F1 drivers' title?

  • DontTrustMe · 23 days ago

    It was never going to be anything else than a Russell versus Antonelli championship. Still 9 or 10 races to go but realistically, Russell needs an Antonelli DNF/0 point ASAP to still have a shot at the title.

  • ThierryFR · 23 days ago

    Buy Russel now. Great opportunity, you wont regret it

  • ThierryFR · 23 days ago

    Russel will come back in the championship. You will not have the opportunity to buy so low from now on !

  • suvarnahabibi · last month

    you can buy no

  • suvarnahabibi · last month

    front runner but not top

  • poxiy50 · 2 months ago

    Leeeecleeeeerc,Leeeecleeeee khkh rc

  • Fikus911 · 2 months ago

    If Rassell win I’m buying funko pop petronas

  • vigfood404 · 2 months ago

    not no

  • chikipikinss · 2 months ago

    hamilton!

  • rillsoapsters · 2 months ago

    all can change in moment

  • bananajamsamin · 2 months ago

    or bmw mm??

As of Sep 29, 11:22 PM UTC