PolymarketOpen

New pandemic in 2026?

No96%

Yes5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$71.7

7d volume$11.4K

30d volume$47.6K

Liquidity$24.9K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders523

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 4% · best ask 5%

Top holders

enrico-vasaio97725463464398783289601242767642888481974268800885687422778902740478294103024
BluntTruthGentleman80671065454402118534970441822834492766941556283670671337094578358747393423487
ktv.bond97725463464398783289601242767642888481974268800885687422778902740478294103024
QMG-CORE97725463464398783289601242767642888481974268800885687422778902740478294103024
alchimik80671065454402118534970441822834492766941556283670671337094578358747393423487

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY5%$4.74 days ago
SELL5%$0.34 days ago
SELL4%$424.54 days ago
SELL5%$37.75 days ago
SELL94%$73.95 days ago
SELL5%$3.85 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 11:25 PM UTC