PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No71%

Yes29%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$11.7K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.

LimitlessOpen →
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo ( https://x.com/Theo_Network ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
14 holders · read Sep 29, 09:03 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
65 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 25, 11:15 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	60% No	$33	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders65

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Best bid 66% · best ask 69%

Top holders

imjustalarp91158762527671757275775133030342712930173330694511875688235548824297494679121
Elementary-Gold71915153278318190797941889362175651591092468210909531916433169254415570206157
starboyreborn71915153278318190797941889362175651591092468210909531916433169254415570206157
traffy.hl71915153278318190797941889362175651591092468210909531916433169254415570206157
grepxd271915153278318190797941889362175651591092468210909531916433169254415570206157

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL24%$11.86 days ago
SELL26%$136 days ago
BUY69%$149.96 days ago
SELL70%$34.87 days ago
SELL70%$360.67 days ago
SELL70%$45.57 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Phoebe6 · 5 months ago
Policy expectations are gradually warming up, bringing positive sentiment guidance to the market.
GrimDawn · 5 months ago
hard to eat
GrimDawn · 5 months ago
sell all
1kimi · 5 months ago
when TGE
pineconed · 10 months ago
numb digger

As of Sep 29, 10:42 PM UTC