PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:39 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$11.7K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; PredictFun additionally displays a creation timestamp, while Polymarket lists a nominal resolution time.

Polymarketthis market
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
35 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 09:14 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:27:17.64422896Z
read Sep 30, 01:34 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	$0.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 hours ago

Holders35

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c99791488221457001466876547048627372433509119309225465141166870394360119550223
politeste49692164196548777833795453873569927913768353208974246113396524368351112503976
lejcles99791488221457001466876547048627372433509119309225465141166870394360119550223
Dr.PNL49692164196548777833795453873569927913768353208974246113396524368351112503976
hitunfar99791488221457001466876547048627372433509119309225465141166870394360119550223

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL2%$0.822 days ago
BUY2%$1.424 days ago
BUY2%$1.724 days ago
BUY2%$1.225 days ago
SELL98%$428 days ago
BUY98%$4.928 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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braindance · 11 days ago
Why do we still have this market?

As of Sep 30, 01:44 AM UTC