PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:48 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$447.8

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria do not differ in any material way. Polymarket lists a resolution time, while PredictFun does not, but this does not change the underlying question.

Polymarketthis market
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
35 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 09:21 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:27:17.163086123Z
read Sep 29, 08:02 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	$0.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 hours ago

Holders35

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

DavidTrezeguet34346449682662505625986884668473641075641788639118940698097602295666899745116
lejcles34346449682662505625986884668473641075641788639118940698097602295666899745116
hithitfar34346449682662505625986884668473641075641788639118940698097602295666899745116
Dr.PNL79280394335339936222716719912763603671501781533175552180009960519666291766435
0xfb0c10226b9e8ea090a018e7024719d8c855107479280394335339936222716719912763603671501781533175552180009960519666291766435

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL1%$0.15 days ago
SELL1%$0.45 days ago
SELL2%$1.25 days ago
SELL1%$0.35 days ago
BUY98%$59.15 days ago
BUY98%$5485 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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braindance · 11 days ago
Why do we still have this market?

As of Sep 30, 01:34 AM UTC