PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No98%

Yes3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:58 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$3.7K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; no material venue-specific resolution difference is stated.

PredictFunOpen →
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T13:27:17.455710003Z
read Sep 29, 07:58 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
49 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 09:11 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	$0.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

Holders49

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c27085771177070155625570587245209957058917785289683958438166769834830745759578
lejcles27085771177070155625570587245209957058917785289683958438166769834830745759578
politeste31056968244860464075639445027843816475539882545827551513924433167272089912845
Dr.PNL31056968244860464075639445027843816475539882545827551513924433167272089912845
7020Tesla31056968244860464075639445027843816475539882545827551513924433167272089912845

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY98%$29.45 days ago
SELL1%$0.422 days ago
BUY97%$98.422 days ago
SELL96%$9.2last month
SELL96%$9.2last month
SELL96%$20.3last month

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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braindance · 11 days ago
Why do we still have this market?

As of Sep 30, 12:34 AM UTC