Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
22 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- PleaseGiveMe1Dollar · 19 days ago
big move on Marco Rubio incoming
- anonymous · 2 months ago
Believe
- anonymous · 2 months ago
look at the chart lol
- tobyvacher · 2 months ago
Donald Trump Announced he would run in 2028 at the White House Correspondent's Dinner. Should resolve yes for Trump.
- AlansWorld182 · 4 months ago
From Hunter today on X "Just saying... No Democrat has won the White House this century without a Biden on the ticket."
- AlansWorld182 · 4 months ago
Hunter Biden will be announcing a run for President. He's started doing interviews, just posted on X for the first time in years after deleting his account. His first post writes "I'm Hunter Biden. You've never actually heard from me." Here begins the public relations campaign of the former president's son as he prepares a Presidential run. Will he win? Who knows, but long odds isn't stopping Kamala from running either.
- Qwebert · 4 months ago
dog take your meds you're tripin
- Volku · 6 months ago
Erika Kirk- this witch will go far.
- whumpa · 6 months ago
Add Joe Kent
- Mitakaasa7 · 7 months ago
I'll tell you a joke. Why doesn't Shaquille O'Neal run for president? He'd win.
- ApostadorMestre · 7 months ago
One thing is announcing he will, other is going factually. This market will solve with the first.
- ApostadorMestre · 7 months ago
But he can say will.
- Zesty-Myth · 8 months ago
Mr. Beast is 27
- kingspot · 8 months ago
Musk also cannot run yet he has 10%.
- SlappyMcHappyNutz · 8 months ago
Haha, who the f ck is voting yes for Barack? Do you not realize he legally cannot run for president again? Not that laws matter in the US any longer.
- nicoco89 · 10 months ago
bad selling timing dude...
- WhiteClouds · 10 months ago
She is counter signaling the Trump admin on everything, lining herself up as the real MAGA. Even today she is pushing for "states rights" for AI not 16 hours after Trump says AI will be "woke" if each state sets its own standards. 2027 is close but they start running by summer 2026. At 9-1, really good odds compared to other options in this market.
- ImNotBetting · 10 months ago
Before 2027 is crazy
- nicoco89 · 10 months ago
I agree, but the deadline is short...
- WhiteClouds · 10 months ago
MTG at 9-1? Easiest bet on this site.
As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC