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Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No95%

Yes5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:17 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.3K

7d volume$5.4K

30d volume$9K

Liquidity$14.9K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders378

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 5% · best ask 7%

Top holders

Pete22J16805695066265619926323278923957325119634887777056903298073798450898743181987
archaic71264719114015266071637402830809405124603402253907140616711470734983209017068
Zaratustra71264719114015266071637402830809405124603402253907140616711470734983209017068
Scholarly-Tuition16805695066265619926323278923957325119634887777056903298073798450898743181987
CP-directional71264719114015266071637402830809405124603402253907140616711470734983209017068

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL7%$0.38 days ago
BUY95%$1808 days ago
BUY93%$4.78 days ago
SELL7%$0.38 days ago
SELL93%$9.99 days ago
BUY7%$6.79 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC